Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.001914 0.002036 0.002162 0.002302 0.002454 0.002615 0.002796
2025-03-30 0.001734 0.001905 0.002089 0.002303 0.002546 0.002814 0.003133
2025-04-06 0.001587 0.001786 0.002007 0.002272 0.002584 0.002941 0.003384
2025-04-13 0.001469 0.001684 0.001930 0.002233 0.002601 0.003034 0.003590
2025-04-20 0.001348 0.001569 0.001827 0.002151 0.002554 0.003041 0.003685
2025-04-27 0.001298 0.001533 0.001813 0.002174 0.002631 0.003199 0.003970
2025-05-04 0.001267 0.001519 0.001822 0.002221 0.002738 0.003398 0.004319
2025-05-11 0.001250 0.001517 0.001846 0.002287 0.002871 0.003634 0.004730
2025-05-18 0.001214 0.001490 0.001836 0.002306 0.002941 0.003789 0.005037
2025-05-25 0.001155 0.001431 0.001780 0.002262 0.002923 0.003822 0.005173
2025-06-01 0.001110 0.001388 0.001743 0.002239 0.002932 0.003889 0.005359
2025-06-08 0.001085 0.001369 0.001737 0.002259 0.002999 0.004041 0.005679
2025-06-15 0.001041 0.001326 0.001700 0.002238 0.003015 0.004131 0.005928
2025-06-22 0.001003 0.001291 0.001672 0.002229 0.003048 0.004248 0.006230
2025-06-29 0.000961 0.001246 0.001629 0.002197 0.003044 0.004309 0.006445
2025-07-06 0.000919 0.001201 0.001585 0.002159 0.003028 0.004350 0.006630
2025-07-13 0.000867 0.001141 0.001514 0.002080 0.002947 0.004282 0.006625
2025-07-20 0.000851 0.001128 0.001512 0.002101 0.003019 0.004461 0.007056
2025-07-27 0.000842 0.001127 0.001526 0.002147 0.003130 0.004710 0.007631
2025-08-03 0.000839 0.001133 0.001551 0.002210 0.003274 0.005020 0.008345
2025-08-10 0.000824 0.001121 0.001547 0.002228 0.003344 0.005211 0.008853
2025-08-17 0.000793 0.001085 0.001506 0.002186 0.003312 0.005223 0.009019
2025-08-24 0.000769 0.001058 0.001479 0.002164 0.003313 0.005292 0.009301